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S&P 500 post-midterm performance

Story timeline · 2 updates, 27 Oct to 2 Nov 2026

Serenity said the S&P 500 gained in all 21 past post-midterm cycles from November to June, averaging 16.6%. Fidelity data now show the index rose in 95% of the 12 months after midterms since 1938, averaging about 14%, with other firms' data showing all 19 post-1950 cycles up over the following year.

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  1. Serenity says S&P 500 rose in all 21 post-midterm cycles

  2. Fidelity says S&P 500 rose in 95% of years after midterms since 1938

Every update is a short rewrite, by AI in our own words, of a flash from the outlet named on it, credited and linked. Updates are joined into one story by AI; our editors can change a story’s name or take an update out. Not investment advice.