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Fidelity says S&P 500 rose in 95% of years after midterms since 1938

NewsFeeds update

Fidelity statistics show the S&P 500 gained in 95% of the 12 months after US midterm elections since 1938, averaging about 14%, against roughly 5% in midterm years. Other firms' data show all 19 post-1950 midterm cycles up over the following year, averaging about 15%.

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The story so far: S&P 500 post-midterm performance

Serenity said the S&P 500 gained in all 21 past post-midterm cycles from November to June, averaging 16.6%. Fidelity data now show the index rose in 95% of the 12 months after midterms since 1938, averaging about 14%, with other firms' data showing all 19 post-1950 cycles up over the following year.

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  1. Serenity says S&P 500 rose in all 21 post-midterm cycles

  2. Fidelity says S&P 500 rose in 95% of years after midterms since 1938

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