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December Fed rate hike odds

Story timeline · 2 updates, 28 Oct to 6 Nov 2026

CME FedWatch showed an 86% chance of a 25 basis point Fed rate rise in December in late October. Ahead of October nonfarm payrolls, the odds stood at 72.8%, with 27.2% seeing rates unchanged and 63.4% expecting a cumulative 25 basis point rise through January.

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  1. CME FedWatch puts December Fed hike odds at 86%

  2. CME FedWatch puts December rate rise odds at 72.8% before payrolls

Every update is a short rewrite, by AI in our own words, of a flash from the outlet named on it, credited and linked. Updates are joined into one story by AI; our editors can change a story’s name or take an update out. Not investment advice.