NewsFeeds: Macro
Macro news that moves crypto: Fed decisions, inflation data, the dollar and bond yields, rewritten by AI in our own words, credited and linked.
AI rewriteEvery flash here is rewritten by AI from an outlet’s flash or a public Telegram channel, and goes live without an editor reading it first. The outlet is named and linked on each one; AI also sets its topic and tone (Bullish, Bearish or Neutral: an AI reading of the flash, not investment advice), and when two outlets report the same news, you see it once.Where AI is used
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Tue 3 Nov
JPMorgan says Democrats winning both chambers is 66% likely
JPMorgan puts the probability of Democrats winning both chambers of Congress at 66% and Republicans holding both at 7%, the scenario it says would lift the S&P 500 most. It sees a Democratic sweep moving the index between a 0.25% fall and a 0.5% rise, with AI-regulation fears possibly hitting AI stocks.
Whale opens more than $147m in crude oil long positions, Lookonchain says
Lookonchain reports that a whale has just opened long crude oil positions worth over $147m: 868,840 BRENTOIL contracts ($91m) and 580,960 CL contracts ($56.1m).
Hyperliquid whale holds $147m in 10x leveraged oil longs, down $954,900
A Hyperliquid whale bought about $51.8m of Brent crude longs, lifting its Brent position by about 130.5% to 868,800 contracts at an average of $104.05. Its two 10x cross-margin longs are worth about $147m and show a combined unrealised loss of about $954,900.
AAOI falls 10.6% in 24 hours to $63.72
AAOI fell 10.6% over 24 hours and was trading at $63.72, according to MSX.COM data.
Bitget adds perpetual contracts on Cheniere Energy and Altria shares
Bitget has listed perpetual contracts on Cheniere Energy (LNG) and Altria (MO) shares, settled in USDT with up to 20x leverage and 24/7 trading. The exchange now supports 394 stock contract underlyings.
Previous related news
- Bitget lists perpetual contracts on Pfizer, Fortinet and Brazil small-cap ETF
- Bitget lists perpetual contracts on Hon Hai and MediaTek Taiwan stocks
- Bitget lists perpetual futures on eight Taiwanese stocks including TSMC
Hong Kong storage stocks slip early, Montage Technology down over 6%
Hong Kong-listed storage-related shares fell in early trading, with Montage Technology down more than 6%, GigaDevice down over 3% and Longsys and VSTECS also lower.
Ark Invest buys Coinbase, Circle and Robinhood shares, sells Bullish
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest bought $3.4m of Coinbase, $2.6m of Circle and $645,820 of Robinhood shares on Monday, with all three closing lower. It also sold $2.3m of Bullish stock, which fell 5.6% that day.
Oracle plans $10bn share sale at 11% discount, pricing near $116 a share
Oracle (ORCL.N) plans to issue $10bn of shares at an 11% discount, with the offering expected to be priced at $116 a share.
Dollar rises past 6.660 against offshore yuan
Gate data shows the dollar rose past 6.660 against the offshore yuan to 6.66088, a gain of 0.1% over 24 hours.
Serenity says Marvell-Lumentum deal is strategically positive but fixed swap ratio caps LITE pricing
Serenity said Marvell's acquisition of Lumentum is strategically positive, but the fixed ratio of 4.5 Marvell shares per Lumentum share limits independent price discovery for LITE. Lumentum closed down 18.59% and Marvell down 12.72%.
Citi expects US Treasury to cut long-bond issuance as dealers brace for shift
Citi expects the US Treasury to start trimming 20- and 30-year bond issuance this month, departing from guidance to keep issuance steady, while primary dealers anticipate more short-term debt to cover funding needs.
South Korea's KOSPI opens down 2.46%
South Korea's KOSPI index opened 2.46% lower, with SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics each falling more than 4%, according to Gate data.
Mon 2 Nov
Apple's fourth-quarter revenue growth slows as shares fall in after-hours trade
Apple said revenue for its fourth quarter to 26 September rose 12% to $115bn, against analyst expectations of $114bn, and its shares fell 1.83% at the close and 2.87% in overnight trading. Greater China revenue rose 21% to $17.5bn, below the $18.8bn expected.
Lumentum shares fall 15.02% intraday to $713.81
Lumentum (LITE) shares fell 15.02% intraday and were trading at $713.81, according to Binance market data.
SpaceX shares extend gain to 5% as market value reaches $1.92tn
SpaceX shares rose as much as 5% to $141.395 each, giving the company a total market value of $1.92tn, according to MSX.COM data.
Polymarket odds of WTI crude falling to $95 a barrel in November rise to 88%
Polymarket now puts an 88% chance on WTI crude falling to $95 a barrel in November, up 26% in 24 hours, after Iran's president said the supreme leader had granted the government some authority in negotiations. Oil prices fell and gold and silver jumped on the news.
Iran's president says supreme leader granted some negotiating authority
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said the supreme leader has granted the government some authority in negotiations, a signal markets read as a possibly more flexible stance. Iran has proposed a two-day framework to conditionally reopen the Strait of Hormuz if demands including an end to the blockade and release of frozen funds are met.
US stock futures rise after AI trade sell-off as tech leads
US equity futures rose, led by technology stocks, after a poor week for the artificial-intelligence investment trade, with falling oil prices offering relief. Investors are watching October manufacturing data, Apple's earnings and the US midterm elections.
Tom Lee says he still expects markets to stay strong through year-end
Tom Lee, chair of the Ethereum treasury company BitMine and co-founder of Fundstrat, said he still expects markets to remain strong through the end of the year despite recent volatility. He discussed the week ahead, the US midterms and the Binance attack on CNBC's Squawk Box.
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