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Polymarket Israel election contract

Story timeline · 2 updates, 26 Oct to 29 Oct 2026

A Polymarket contract on Israel's next prime minister drew over $55m in volume ahead of the 27 October election. Polymarket is now investigating unusual trades, including hundreds of new accounts betting on Netanyahu and Likud shortly before polls closed, Bloomberg reported.

Every update, oldest first

  1. Polymarket Israel election contract tops $55m, with Eisenkot at 55%

    A Polymarket contract on Israel's next prime minister has drawn more than $55m in trading volume, pricing Gadi Eisenkot at 55% and Benjamin Netanyahu at 29% after the 27 October 2026 parliamentary election. The Israel Democracy Institute has called on the central elections committee to treat prediction-market odds as polling and restrict their publication before votes.

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  2. Polymarket probes suspicious Israel election trades, Bloomberg says

    Polymarket is investigating unusual trades placed during this week's Israeli election, Bloomberg reported. Hundreds of new accounts bet on Benjamin Netanyahu and Likud outperforming shortly before polls closed on 27 Oct, and some cashed out more than $100,000 combined.

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Every update is a short rewrite, by AI in our own words, of a flash from the outlet named on it, credited and linked. Updates are joined into one story by AI; our editors can change a story’s name or take an update out. Not investment advice.